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overfitting

Overfitting in the context of AI refers to a situation where a machine learning model learns the training data too well, including its noise and random fluctuations, to the extent that it negatively impacts the model’s performance on new, unseen data[1][2][5]. This occurs when the model is too complex relative to the amount of training data available and starts to memorize the training data rather than learning to generalize from it[1][2].


The primary issue with overfitting is that while the model may show excellent performance on the training data, its ability to make accurate predictions on new data is compromised. This is because the model has essentially learned the specific patterns, including noise, of the training set, rather than the underlying relationships that would be applicable more broadly[1][2][5].


To detect overfitting, one can compare the model’s performance on the training data with its performance on a separate validation or test set. If the model performs significantly better on the training data than on the test data, it is likely overfitted[1][4]. Techniques such as K-fold cross-validation are commonly used to assess model performance and detect overfitting[4].


To prevent overfitting, several strategies can be employed, including:


  1. Simplifying the Model: Reducing the complexity of the model by using fewer parameters or features[1].
  2. Regularization: Adding a penalty for complexity to the model’s loss function to discourage the learning of a model that is too complex[1].
  3. Early Stopping: Halting the training process before the model becomes overfitted[1].
  4. Data Augmentation: Increasing the size of the training dataset, for example, by adding noise or making small variations to the data[4].
  5. Pruning: Removing unnecessary features or weights from the model[1].


It’s important to find a balance between a model that is too simple (which can lead to underfitting) and one that is too complex (which can lead to overfitting), to ensure that the model generalizes well to new data[1][2][5].


See also: underfitting


Citations:

[1] https://www.ibm.com/topics/overfitting

[2] https://www.datarobot.com/wiki/overfitting/

[3] https://www.datacamp.com/blog/what-is-overfitting

[4] https://research.aimultiple.com/ai-overfitting/

[5] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overfitting

[6] https://www.techopedia.com/definition/32512/overfitting

[7] https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/underfitting-and-overfitting-in-machine-learning/

[8] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/o/overfitting.asp

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